Sarah from London is tossing a coin. In front of her, 30 people are standing with their hands on their heads – if they are predicting a head – or by their sides, if they think the coin has come up tails.
University of Cambridge aspiration-raising programme highlighted as an example of best practice by independent inquiry.
Ever headed out for the day expecting bright sunshine, only to end up getting soaked in a downpour instead? If you’re reading this in the UK, chances are you have – and now your help is needed in a new project which aims to sharpen up forecasting so that people’s plans are less frequently thwarted by the Great British Weather.
A new study aims to be the biggest study of risk perception ever undertaken.
Two different projects which aim to improve our understanding of the nature of, and statistical realities behind, health scares, natural disasters, climate change and other issues, are being launched by the University of Cambridge.
Assessing the chance of something happening or not happening confronts us all the time. A new programme led by David Spiegelhalter, the Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, is helping improve people's understanding of the mathematics of risk.